Independent news for the prediction-markets economy
Live wire
MARKET DATA
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket International combined for about $19.46 billion in the week ended Sept. 27, with football season driving record weekly and quarterly trading figures.
VENUES
Robinhood's prediction markets generated $156M in Q2, and Piper Sandler sees roughly $320M more from September through December on NFL-season volume.
VENUES
Fanatics folded prediction markets into a single sportsbook, casino and markets app on September 2, while moving to acquire its own CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse.
REGULATION
The Sixth Circuit ruled Ohio and Tennessee can regulate Kalshi's sports contracts, and Missouri issued cease-and-desist notices to six prediction market venues.
INDUSTRY
Public's September 24 launch, via a partnership with Kalshi, lets members trade event contracts directly or have AI agents trade on their behalf and use market probabilities as portfolio signals.
Live data
The contracts moving most, ranked by 24h volume change.
Live data
How much is trading, and where, across major venues.
Live data
Fresh markets as venues list them.
Live data
Recently settled markets and their outcomes.
Sponsored
Prediction markets turn headlines into prices. Follow the industry we cover and put your read on the outcome.
Affiliate link. The Agent Bets may earn a commission.
For agents
The Agent Bets is a vertical of the Agent News Publishing Network. For programmatic access, use the Agent News MCP (Streamable HTTP + JSON-RPC 2.0): it serves this vertical's prediction-markets coverage alongside the full Agent News corpus. The raw machine-readable feeds for this vertical are below.
Newsletter
A short daily briefing on the prediction-markets economy, in your inbox before the open.